The Wager Register
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Ravens Turn to Undrafted Rookie Joe Fagnano, and the Jaguars Line Is Up 14.5 Points

Tyler Huntley is out for the season and Lamar Jackson is on IR, so Joe Fagnano starts Thursday. DraftKings swung from Ravens -4.5 to Jaguars -10.

Key takeaways

  • Tyler Huntley has a season-ending turf toe injury and Lamar Jackson is headed to injured reserve, so undrafted rookie Joe Fagnano starts Thursday night, per ESPN.
  • DraftKings opened Baltimore -4.5 and now has Jacksonville -10, a 14.5-point swing, with the total down from 49.5 to 40.5.
  • The Ravens are 4-4 after a 36-10 loss at Buffalo; Fagnano went 10-for-21 for 91 yards and an interception in his debut.
  • ESPN insiders say Baltimore may look at veteran quarterbacks such as Jacoby Brissett or Daniel Jones, and Jackson's future is now a bigger question.
On this page
  1. Ravens Name Undrafted Rookie Joe Fagnano Their Quarterback for Jacksonville
  2. Jaguars at Ravens Odds: What the Market Did
  3. Our Read: What a Fourth-String Quarterback Does to a Price
  4. What to Watch Before Thursday Night
  5. More news

Ravens Name Undrafted Rookie Joe Fagnano Their Quarterback for Jacksonville

Baltimore will start rookie Joe Fagnano on Thursday night against Jacksonville after tests showed backup Tyler Huntley suffered a season-ending turf toe injury, sources told ESPN's Adam Schefter. Huntley was hurt in the first half of Sunday's 36-10 loss at Buffalo. Lamar Jackson was injured on the Ravens' first offensive play of that game with a thumb injury, is headed to injured reserve and could miss the rest of the season, ESPN reported.

It's just football, a physical game we play.

Fagnano will be only the second undrafted rookie quarterback to start for the Ravens in their 32-year history, ESPN said. He was 10-for-21 for 91 yards with one interception in his debut against the Bills and wore a brace on his right ankle at Tuesday's practice. His backups, Austin Reed and Kedon Slovis, each joined the team within four days of the game.

Jaguars at Ravens Odds: What the Market Did

The market moved sharply away from Baltimore. DraftKings opened the Ravens as 4.5-point home favorites and now has the Jaguars favored by 10, per ESPN's odds feed as of November 4 at 8:01 AM ET. Jacksonville is 5-2 and Baltimore is 4-4.

MarketOpeningCurrentMove
SpreadBaltimore -4.5Jacksonville -10Favorite changed, 14.5-point swing
Ravens moneyline-218+400Now a long underdog
Jaguars moneyline+180-535Now a heavy favorite
Total49.540.5Down 9

The feed does not say why a line moved, so everything after this table is our reading and not a reported cause.

Our Read: What a Fourth-String Quarterback Does to a Price

The swing is larger than most quarterback changes, and there are a few reasons it may look like this.

  • The opening line assumed a different Ravens team. An open at Baltimore -4.5 likely priced Jackson or Huntley under center, so much of the 14.5 points is a quarterback correction and not a view on Jacksonville.
  • A nine-point drop in the total is a statement about the offense. A rookie with 91 yards in his debut, a short week and recently signed backups point to fewer drives and fewer points, though that is our inference.
  • Ten points is a lot, and the evidence cuts both ways. A short week and a home crowd could narrow a gap, but a 36-10 loss at Buffalo is hard to argue with.
  • The bigger story runs past this game. ESPN's insiders raised Jackson's future, his $84 million 2027 cap hit and a possible quarterback trade, which suggests the Ravens are already weighing the long view.

What to Watch Before Thursday Night

  • Fagnano's ankle, since he was braced at practice.
  • Whether Baltimore signs or trades for a veteran, with Brissett, Daniel Jones and Tyson Bagent named by ESPN as possible fits.
  • Whether Derrick Henry becomes a trade topic if the Ravens fall to 4-5.
  • Any further line movement and whether Jacksonville's total number holds near 40.

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